Connie Anthes

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    Look just at literature from 2006 and later, many paeprs have appeared on this subject which generally support your stated conclusions.A sampling of references:Klotzbach, P.J. and W.M. Gray. 2008. Multidecadal variability in North Atlantic tropical cyclone activity. Journal of Climate, 21, 3929-3935.Vecchi, G. A., et al., 2008. Whither Hurricane Activity? Science, 322, 687-689.Kuleshov, Y., et al., (2008), On tropical cyclone activity in the Southern Hemisphere: Trends and the ENSO connection, Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L14S08, doi:10.1029/2007GL032983.Chan, J.C.L. 2007. Decadal variations of intense typhoon occurrence in the western North Pacific. Proceedings of the Royal Society, A., 464, 249-272.Elsner, J.B., et al., 2008. Comparison of hurricane return levels using historical and geological records. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 47, 368-374.Briggs, W.M. 2008. On the changes in the number and intensity of North Atlantic tropical cyclones. Journal of Climate, 21, 1387-1402.Zuki, Z. M., and A. R. Lupo. 2008. Interannual variability of tropical cyclone activity in the southern South China Sea. Journal of Geophysical Research, 113, D06106, doi:10.1029/2007JD009218.Englehart, P. J., et al., 2008. Defining the frequency of near-shore tropical cyclone activity in the eastern North Pacific from historical surface observations (1921 2005). Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L03706, doi:10.1029/2007GL032546.Wang, C., and S.-K. Lee (2008), Global warming and United States landfalling hurricanes, Geophysical Research Letters, 35, L02708, doi:10.1029/2007GL032396.Vecchi, G.A. and B.J. Soden. 2007. Effect of remote sea surface temperature change on tropical cyclone potential intensity. Nature, 450, 1066-1071.Li, Y., et al., 2007. Analysis and prognosis of tropical cyclone genesis over the western North Pacific on the background of global warming. Acta Oceanologica Sinica, 26, 23-34.Swanson, K.L, 2007. Impact of scaling behavior on tropical cyclone intensities. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, doi:10.1029/2007GL030851.Bengtsson, L., et al., 2007. How may tropical cyclones change in a warmer climate? Tellus, 59A, 539-561.Chan, J.C.L. 2007. Interannual variations of intense typhoon activity. Tellus, 59A, 455 460.Vitart, F. and F. Doblas-Reyes. 2007. Impact of greenhouse gas concentrations on tropical storms in coupled seasonal forecasts. Tellus, 59A, 417-427. Wu, Y., et al., 2007. The impact of tropical cyclones on Hainan Island’s extreme and total precipitation. International Journal of Climatology, DOI: 10.1002/joc.1464.Vecchi, G.A. and B. J. Soden, 2007. Increased tropical Atlantic wind shear in model projections of global warming. Geophysical Research Letters, L08702, doi:10.1029/2006GL028905.Michaels, P. J., et al., 2006. Sea-surface temperatures and tropical cyclones in the Atlantic basin, Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L09708, doi:10.1029/2006GL025757.Kossin, J.P., et al., 2007. A globally consistent reanalysis of hurricane variability and trends. Geophysical Research Letters, 34, L4815, doi: 10.1029/2006GL028836.Landsea, C.W., et al., 2006. Can We Detect Trends in Extreme Tropical Cyclones? Science, 313, 452-454.Yoshimura, J., et al., 2006. Influence of greenhouse warming on tropical cyclone frequency, Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan, 84, 405-428. Ren, F., et al., 2006. Changes in tropical cyclone precipitation over China, Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L20702, doi:10.1029/2006GL027951.Klotzbach, P.J., 2006. Trends in global tropical cyclone activity over the past twenty years (1986-2005). Geophysical Research Letters, 33, L010805, doi:10.1029/2006GL025881.

Connie Anthes
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